Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
Mon Aug 31 1:31 am
000
ABNT20 KNHC 310531
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Aug 31 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northern Gulf of America (AL97):
An area of low pressure over the northern Gulf of America, located
more than 100 miles south of the coast of southern Louisiana
continues to produce a small but concentrated area of showers and
thunderstorms. Earlier satellite wind data indicated that the
circulation has not become much better defined from yesterday while
producing winds of 30 to 35 mph. Regardless, additional development
is anticipated as the low moves slowly west-northwestward, and a
short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form
before the system reaches the Upper Texas or southwestern Louisiana
coasts by tonight or Tuesday morning.
Interests along the southwest Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts
should monitor the progress of this system, as tropical storm
watches or warnings could be required for portions of the area later
today. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring
locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Upper Texas and
southwestern Louisiana coasts during the next several days. An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the system later this morning. Additional information on this
system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (Remnants of Dolly):
The remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, a surface trough of low
pressure, continues to produce an area of showers and thunderstorms
from Hispaniola eastward to the northern Leeward Islands. Strong
upper-level winds are expected to prevent redevelopment of this
system over the next day or two while it moves quickly westward to
west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph. Conditions could become more
conducive for redevelopment by the middle of the week as the system
reaches the southern Bahamas or Florida Straits. Regardless, the
system could bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions
of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and
Hispaniola over the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Papin
ABNT20 KNHC 310531
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Aug 31 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northern Gulf of America (AL97):
An area of low pressure over the northern Gulf of America, located
more than 100 miles south of the coast of southern Louisiana
continues to produce a small but concentrated area of showers and
thunderstorms. Earlier satellite wind data indicated that the
circulation has not become much better defined from yesterday while
producing winds of 30 to 35 mph. Regardless, additional development
is anticipated as the low moves slowly west-northwestward, and a
short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form
before the system reaches the Upper Texas or southwestern Louisiana
coasts by tonight or Tuesday morning.
Interests along the southwest Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts
should monitor the progress of this system, as tropical storm
watches or warnings could be required for portions of the area later
today. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring
locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Upper Texas and
southwestern Louisiana coasts during the next several days. An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the system later this morning. Additional information on this
system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (Remnants of Dolly):
The remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, a surface trough of low
pressure, continues to produce an area of showers and thunderstorms
from Hispaniola eastward to the northern Leeward Islands. Strong
upper-level winds are expected to prevent redevelopment of this
system over the next day or two while it moves quickly westward to
west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph. Conditions could become more
conducive for redevelopment by the middle of the week as the system
reaches the southern Bahamas or Florida Straits. Regardless, the
system could bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions
of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and
Hispaniola over the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Papin