Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
Thu Jul 16 1:24 pm
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161724
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Elida, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California Peninsula.
Well Southwest of the Hawaiian Islands (CP90):
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest
of the Hawaiian Islands and a few hundred miles southeast of
Johnston Atoll is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development
over the next day or so, and a tropical depression could still form
by Friday as the system moves slowly northwestward toward the
vicinity of Johnston Atoll. By this weekend, this system is expected
to move into unfavorable environmental conditions, likely ending its
opportunity to develop.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Offshore of Southern and Southwestern Mexico:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the coast of
southern Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development of this system thereafter, and a tropical
depression is likely to form by this weekend into early next week
while it moves generally west-northwestward well offshore of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high..90 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
ABPZ20 KNHC 161724
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Elida, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California Peninsula.
Well Southwest of the Hawaiian Islands (CP90):
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest
of the Hawaiian Islands and a few hundred miles southeast of
Johnston Atoll is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development
over the next day or so, and a tropical depression could still form
by Friday as the system moves slowly northwestward toward the
vicinity of Johnston Atoll. By this weekend, this system is expected
to move into unfavorable environmental conditions, likely ending its
opportunity to develop.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Offshore of Southern and Southwestern Mexico:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the coast of
southern Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development of this system thereafter, and a tropical
depression is likely to form by this weekend into early next week
while it moves generally west-northwestward well offshore of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high..90 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly